[04:29:07 PM] => Welcome
to the live chat session at myiris.com
[04:30:55 PM] => Myiris: Mr. Lalit.
K. Khanna, Executive Director, Escorts Mutual Fund will be
joining us in a short while.
[04:31:22 PM] => DISCLAIMER
[04:31:59 PM] => Mr.
Lalit. K. Khanna, is the Executive Director, Escorts Mutual
Fund. At the time of this conversation / chat, Mr. Khanna
may or may not have positions in the stocks mentioned below,
although holdings may change at any time.
[04:32:52 PM] => The
views expressed by Mr. Lalit. K. Khanna is based upon information
that he considers reliable, but does not represent that it
is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon
as such. Mr. Khanna, his company and its affiliates, officers,
directors, partners, and employees may, from time to time,
have long or short positions in, buy or sell and deal as principal
in the securities, or derivatives thereof, of companies mentioned
herein and may take positions inconsistent with the views
expressed. None of the information contained herein constitutes,
or is intended to constitute a recommendation of any particular
security or trading strategy or a determination that any security
or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. To
the extent any of the information contained herein may be
deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal
and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.
You should consult with and rely upon your own advisors whether
and how to use such information in making any investment decision.
[04:33:36 PM] => Lastly
the views expressed by Mr. Khanna have no bearing whatsoever
with that of IRIS Ltd. IRIS does not guarantee the accuracy,
adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible
for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from
the use of such information. IRIS especially states that it
has no financial liability whatsoever to any user on account
of the use of information provided on its website www.myiris.com.
[04:34:44 PM] => Myiris : Welcome
to the chat session, Mr. Khanna.
[04:36:53 PM] => Rakesh791 : Are
there any parameters by which one can judge funds besides
their returns or portfolios?
[04:38:23 PM] => LK
: Over long term, consistency in returns is as important as
absolute returns for the period. For similar returns, the
fund that is less volatile is certainly superior to the other
one.
[04:39:05 PM] => Suresh_pr: How
would you compare the performance of your funds vis-à-vis
your competition?
[04:41:25 PM] => LK
: Our schemes have consistently outperformed the benchmark
indices and have been among the top performers in their respective
categories. Escorts Income Plan has recently been ranked by
Value Research based upon returns in the last one month. Our
tax-saving equity scheme � Escorts Tax Plan � has been a top
performer across different time periods. The scheme has handsomely
outperformed the benchmark index, Nifty, for most periods.
[04:42:18 PM] => RM_KT: What do
you think for the market in a one-month horizon?
[04:43:15 PM] => LK
: The equity markets are in the process of forming a long-term
bottom and this may continue for some more time. Markets should
remain range-bound in the next one-month.
[04:44:38 PM] => Sanjay : Given
the current interest rate scenario isn't it better to invest
in PPF than in a Gilt, or Income Fund?
[04:45:26 PM] => LK
: Not necessarily. The long-term direction of interest rates
in India is still downwards. Low inflation and ample liquidity
can support even lower interest rates. Moreover, government
itself can not keep the level of interest rates on small savings
out of tandem for long. Sooner or later, it will have to rationalize
interest rates on these instruments as well.
[04:46:08 PM] => T_patil: What's
your outlook on Pharma & FMCG sectors?
[04:46:53 PM] => LK
: Pharma sector should continue to do well in the coming months.
The potential on the generics front in the US is huge and
Indian pharma companies are well positioned to take advantage
of this. However, MNC pharma companies are unlikely to see
much excitement. Regarding FMCG, prospects should improve
with rise in rural incomes post the good monsoon rains.
[04:49:03 PM] => Namrata26: How
safe is investing in Equity funds? Don`t you think investing
in FD`s gives a much better return with no loss of principal
amount for an non speculator?
[04:49:59 PM] => LK
: Equity, as an instrument, is fundamentally riskier than
debt. However, over long term, equities give the highest returns
to the investors, notwithstanding the associated volatility
in returns. Investors who can afford to take some risks should
actively consider investing in equity funds right now as valuations
are at historic low levels. Investors who don�t want to take
much risks should look to invest in pure debt funds.
[04:51:01 PM] => Maullick: Yours
is the only INCOME FUND that has given me negative returns
in a falling interest rate market - So much for a Fund Managers
expertise - can you kindly clarify why it happened - are you
not accountable to us investors?
[04:52:13 PM] => LK
: There seems to be some wrong information here. We have only
one pure debt fund - Escorts Income Plan. The scheme has been
giving steady and consistent returns ever since its launch
and is top ranker in its category.
[04:53:11 PM] => Shalini : What
measures should the Govt take to pump prime the economy?
[04:55:07 PM] => LK
: Boost investments, particularly in the infrastructure sector,
make FDI regime more liberal and accelerate the privatization
programme.
[04:56:52 PM] => Krishnakumara
: Dear Sir - can you clarify what your gilt scheme is supposed
to do - forget yours but in general where does a gilt scheme
have to invest? After answering the same can u make me understand
what is a Krishna Jal Bhagya Nigam and Maharashtra Jeevan
Pradhikaran Bonds doing in your portfolio. - Are you another
UTI?
[04:59:02 PM] => LK
: Gilt scheme invest in Government Securities. These include
securities issued by central and state governments/agencies
and debt guaranteed by these entities.
[05:00:29 PM] => Both
Krishna Jal Bhagya Nigam and Maharashtra Jeevan Pradhikaran
are state guaranteed papers. While KJBN is rated A+ by Crisil,
MJP is rated AA (SO). These papers are adequately liquid and
are being traded at above our acquisition cost. All our investments
and accounting practices are as per SEBI guidelines.
[05:01:38 PM] => Ravi_ken : Will
mutual funds do better than the market?
[05:02:26 PM] => LK
: This would largely depend on the individual fund. It would
not be possible to generalize all the mutual funds.
[05:03:12 PM] => Sandeep45: What
are your views on interest rates?
[05:05:13 PM] => LK
: The long-term direction of interest rates remains downwards
in the country on back of low inflation, ample liquidity in
the system and adequate forex reserves in the country. However,
the high fiscal deficit may create an upward pressure on interest
rates.
[05:06:05 PM] => Amit67 : According
to AMFI reports, liquid funds have witnessed the maximum inflows.
Is this a sign that interest rates have bottomed out and therefor
returns from income funds is limited forcing people to turn
towards liquid funds?
[05:07:19 PM] => LK
: The kind of returns that have been generated by income funds
in the past one year are certainly not sustainable. But, at
the same time, there are no immediate signs to indicate any
upward move in interest rates. Move towards liquid funds should
largely be seen as precautionary and investors would gradually
return to the income funds.
[05:09:31 PM] => Sapnil : Where
do you see the tech sector headed for this year?
[05:09:57 PM] => LK
: The fortunes for the sector are largely dependent on global
capital spending on technology. The sector is still reeling
under over-capacity and high inventory that will take some
time to clear up. The Indian IT companies should be able to
maintain their growth as advantages of the offshore model
are still being understood by the US and European corporate.
[05:11:58 PM] => Naren98 : Your
views on our economy? What growth rate do you expect?
[05:12:36 PM] => LK
: Expect recovery by next quarter. Increased spending by government
and good growth in agriculture, hence rural income, should
do the trick.
[05:13:36 PM] => Dinesh_sur :
In the short term in the Tech Sector, which is the best Strategy-
Technicals or Fundamental?
[05:13:59 PM] => LK
:Technicals almost always favour the fundamentals.
[05:14:31 PM] => Raghu_nandan:
Where do you see the media entertainment companies headed
to?
[05:15:50 PM] => LK
: Media entertainment companies would continue to attract
investor attention for some more time. However, it must be
understood that the earnings in this sector can show considerable
volatility over long term. One needs to be very cautious.
[05:17:05 PM] => Shyam43: Which
sectors will be outperformers over the next one year period?
[05:17:34 PM] => LK
: Cement, pharma and front line IT stocks should do well from
here.
[05:18:07 PM] => Nimish_patel
: Where do you think the markets are headed in the short and
medium term?
[05:18:20 PM] => LK
: Range-bound in the short term. Expect recovery in two months.
[05:19:27 PM] => Bala : Why are
MFs selling for the last few months when FIIs are buying?
[05:20:24 PM] => LK
: Mainly to meet the redemption pressure. Funds have also
increased their cash position in the portfolio.
[05:21:02 PM] => A_mad : Do you
think prices of information technology stocks will come back
to their higher levels? Wich stocks do you recommend?
[05:22:16 PM] => LK
: While some recovery in the IT stocks is very likely, don�t
expect them to go anywhere near their earlier highs. Stick
to the larger front line stocks.
[05:23:13 PM] => Praveen 67: Is
this the right time to invest for the small investor?
[05:23:35 PM] => LK
: Stock valuations are at near historic lows and the flow
of bad news seems to be getting over for the time being. Small
investors should definitely consider investing between 30%
- 40% of their planned equity investments at this juncture.
[05:26:32 PM] => Somnathm : Does
the current interest rate truly reflect the fundamentals of
our economy - or is it just on account of liquidity in the
system given that there are too many NPA's the Banks have
decided to buy just GILT - A demand Supply mismatch - in favour
of supply actually?
[05:28:47 PM] => LK
: Besides the abundant supply, other factors too have contributed
towards lower interest rates in the country. For example,
the inflation has been well under control. This, in turn,
has been caused by opening up of the domestic economy (thus
reducing the tariff and non-tariff barriers for imports) as
well as abundant food grain reserves. This gives the RBI sufficient
maneuvering room to bring down the interest rates. While low
credit offtake and ample liquidity in the system have contributed
to the declining interest rates, other structural changes
in the economy are also to an extent responsible for the lower
interest rates.
[05:29:15 PM] => Rajiv_menon :
What is your opinion on the future of index funds?
[05:30:37 PM] => LK
: Index funds will continue to flourish. The inherent diversification,
investment in large cap blue-chips, and foreclosure of the
portfolio appeal to a large number of investors. Index funds
should help in increasing the size of the mutual fund industry.
[05:33:10 PM] => Rishabh : Do
you see M&As gaining ground in the Mutual Fund Industry?
[05:34:02 PM] => LK
: This would largely be a function of individual corporate
strategy. Till now, the only people to opt out of the industry
have been nationalized banks who do not look asset management
as part of their core business activity.
[05:35:16 PM] => Tapan_gh : What
are your views on the future direction of the Indian Mutual
Fund Industry?
[05:37:45 PM] => LK
: The mutual fund industry has a bright future in the country.
The current size of the industry is around Rs. 110,000 crore
which is substantially lower than the bank deposit base. The
mutual fund industry should eventually exceed the bank deposit
base, as we have seen in case of developed economies.
[05:38:36 PM] => Marat 32: Do
you subscribe to the view that mutual funds industry in India
is yet to mature?
[05:40:41 PM] => LK
: No. Indian mutual fund industry has come a long way in the
last few years. The growth in the asset size in of the industry
is clear evidence in this regard. While asset size in equity
funds has, till now, largely been a function of stock market
levels, the debt/income funds have shown excellent growth
in the last two years. The industry is well regulated (through
SEBI) and we have very serious players in this industry.
[05:40:53 PM] => Neera_prabhu:
What is your opinion on technology funds?
[05:42:08 PM] => LK
: Tech stocks can be expected to stage a partial recovery
later this year. Tech funds would be expected to mirror their
performance. But don�t expect tech stocks/funds to reach anywhere
near their historic highs.
[05:43:18 PM] => Religh : What
would you suggest income fund or equity fund in a current
scenario?
[05:44:37 PM] => LK
: This would largely depend on your risk appetite, which would
depend on factors like your age, savings in hand etc. Ideally,
one should divide the assets between equity and debt. For
a normal investors, looking at low equity valuations, one
can go upto 40% in equity and 60% in income funds or alternatively
in balanced funds.
[05:45:35 PM] => Renu_Sarin :
Do you think the Indian mutual funds industry has underperformed
given the market conditions?
[05:46:49 PM] => LK
: The performance of the mutual funds is for every one to
see. However, it must be remembered that performance of equity
can not be judged in the short term. One should really see
performance over 2-3 years before passing a judgment on equity
funds� performance.
[05:47:36 PM] => Kamlesh09 : What
do you think of the cement scrips in the current market?
[05:48:56 PM] => LK
: The plans to increase the investment level, particularly
in the infrastructure sector, by the government should help
all the related sectors. Cement would be one of the key beneficiaries.
[05:49:24 PM] => Thakur_R : Has
there been any impact on Escorts MF�s inflows after the UTI
fiasco?
[05:50:09 PM] => LK
: There has not been any impact.
[05:51:46 PM] => Nalini_Mathur
: Which investment strategy do you prefer? Do you churn the
portfolio constantly or buy and hold?
[05:53:15 PM] => LK
: Our strategy largely depends upon market conditions. In
range-bound markets, we look to enhance our returns by actively
churning our portfolio, while in case of strong upward moves,
we adopt the buy-and-hold strategy.
[05:53:42 PM] => Subodh_sahu :
Can you tell us briefly about Escorts�s internal benchmarking
system?
[05:56:17 PM] => LK
: Regarding performance, we clearly aim to be among the top
5 in the respective categories to all our funds.
[05:56:46 PM] => Dinesh Dutt :
Dear sir, why do we find very little brand awareness about
your mutual fund in overall MF industry?
[06:00:04 PM] => LK
: We have deliberately chosen to let our performance lead
our visibility. We believe that by giving consistent returns
to out unitholders, we will be able to carve out a niche for
ourselves. We have largely succeeded in our endeavor.
[06:03:28 PM] => LK
: We have deliberately chosen to let our performance lead
our visibility. We believe that by giving consistent returns
to out unitholders, we will be able to carve out a niche for
ourselves. We have largely succeeded in our endeavor.
[06:03:51 PM] => Anish_kumar :
What is your outlook on YTMs in the debt market? Will the
downward trend continue for some more time?
[06:06:51 PM] => LK
: Interest rates should stabilize at current levels for the
time being, even as the long term direction for interest rates
remains downwards.
[06:08:09 PM] => Gaurav : What
are the reasons for sudden large inflows into Income funds?
Do you think sufficient investment avenues are available for
investing the incremental inflows?
[06:10:27 PM] => LK
: Lack of opportunities in the equity market led a large number
of investors to divert money towards debt. Also, with abolition
of �Badla�, an attractive avenue for parking funds dried out.
This money also found its way into the income funds. Falling
interest rates and corresponding increase in the securities
value further attracted investors towards income funds. Looking
at our equity markets, the income and liquid funds should
continue to attract investors.
[06:22:23 PM] => Mr.
Lalit Khanna is busy ..He'll be back shortly
[06:37:48 PM] => Abishek : How
MF could a best bet after us64 fiasco ? Are private MFs really
trustworthy ?
[06:38:28 PM] => All
private mutual funds fully abide by the SEBI guidelines. SEBI
has laid in place elaborate guidelines for investing, accounting
and reporting the investments making the entire process very
transparent. There should not be any problem of trust with
Pvt. Sector mutual funds.
[06:38:47 PM] => Abishek : Is
it worth to buy Escorts at this levels?
[06:39:32 PM] => LK
: As we are associated with the Escorts group, it would not
be fair to comment on this question.
[06:39:54 PM] => Sushanth : What
are the prospects of Nath Seeds , Panecea biotech ,and Hindustan
Agrigenetics LTD? Thanks
[06:40:46 PM] => LK
: We would not like to comment on individual stocks.
[06:40:58 PM] => Mohanvamsi :
What is future for cement stocks present conditions?
[06:41:31 PM] => LK
: Cement sector should benefit due to increased govt. spending
on infrastructure. The ongoing consolidation drive and favourable
monsoons too should have positive impact.
[06:41:49 PM] => Girish : Is it
worth to invest in MFs after US-64 fiasco ?
[06:42:07 PM] => LK
: As we have said earlier, MFs fully comply with the SEBI
guidelines. SEBI also conducts periodic audits on all the
mutual funds to check if all the guidelines are being strictly
followed. US-64 was a special case and it would not fair to
generalize it with entire mutual fund industry.
[06:42:29 PM] => Aakash : Which
is your fav. pharma stock?
[06:42:48 PM] => LK
: We would not like to comment on individual stocks. As a
sector, we continue to favour the large cap Indian pharma
stocks over the MNC pharma companies.
[06:43:08 PM] => Aniket : Why
there is no excitement in escorts counter after it bagged
4 crucial tele circles?
[06:43:31 PM] => LK
: As we are associated with the Escorts group, it would not
be fair to comment on this question.
[06:43:46 PM] => viren ahuja :
Are infrastructure stocks good buys considering PM's interest
in economy revival?
[06:44:06 PM] => LK
: Certainly. Government seems determined to pump up the infrastructure
spending and this should certainly benefit the companies operating
in this field. However, one should be careful in picking the
stock considering the poor fiscal situation of the government
may mean difficulty in achieving financial closure of some
of these projects.
[06:44:27 PM] => Krish : In the
present scenario of falling stock prices, what do you think
is the role of a good mutual fund like yours can do to stabilise
the market. Do you think it will be a continuos process?
[06:44:48 PM] => LK
: Mutual funds are just one of many market players active
in the market. Eventually, the stock levels are driven by
the inherent fundamental strength rather than by the level
of interest of some institution in a stock. The Indian markets
have greatly matured in the past few years and are now large
enough so that no single entity can have a large influence
over prices for long. No one provide artificial stability
to markets if such actions run contradictory to the fundamental
direction of stock price movements.
[06:45:11 PM] => Maullick : With
respect to my question on Income Fund of Escorts my reference
was towards your BOND FUND. You have posted negative returns
in that.
[06:45:32 PM] => LK
: Income Bond is not a pure debt scheme. In case of Income
Bond, we were hit by certain investment decisions that went
adverse resulting in depreciation on our equity portfolio.
These were largely on account of the poor market conditions.
On the debt side we are very sure that we will be able to
recover most of our investments in the coming months. This
was just a one-off incident as can be seen from the excellent
performance by our schemes Escorts Income Plan and Escorts
Tax Plan.
[06:45:55 PM] => pk.Ramanan :
Why no visibility of your Escorts MF?
[06:46:13 PM] => LK
:As I have said earlier, we want our performance to speak
for itself. Our entire focus is towards generating consistently
higher returns for our investors. Our good performance is
being noticed by the investors and our asset size is steadily
climbing up.
[06:47:03 PM] => praveen ramanan
: What is your fund corpus in Escorts Gilt?
[06:47:52 PM] => LK
: Recently launched Escorts Gilt is a small fund as yet. The
scheme is performing well and we hope to increase the corpus
of the fund in the coming months.
[06:48:19 PM] => Shroeder : What
is the impact of UTI scam in your portfolio. How secure is
your Mutual fund from these scams?
[06:48:44 PM] => LK
: Our portfolio has not had any impact of the US 64 issue.
Escorts Mutual Fund abides by all the stringent guidelines
of SEBI for investing, accounting and reporting our investments.
We also have our internal guidelines on these issues. We are
as transparent in our operations as any MF can be and there
is certainly no chance of happening a UTI here.
[06:49:08 PM] => Divya : Why is
your fund is not having major presence felt in mumbai ? Mumbai
is financial capital of the country.
[06:49:26 PM] => LK
: Till now we were focussing mainly in the northern part of
the country. Having registered our presence here and having
established ourselves, we are now planning to aggressively
expand in other parts of the country as well. You will soon
notice our presence in Mumbai as well.
[06:49:52 PM] => Ravi-ken : Mr.
Khanna don't you think that there is a difference between
sovereign risk and that of risk of Electricity Boards and
other institutions supported by various State Governments.
(By the way Maharshtra has been downgraded) . Secondly these
papers in your portfolio are only liquid to PF\'s and not
to other Banks / MF's. If tomorrow there is a run on your
MF you will definitely find it difficult to exit - in this
respect I agree with Mr. Krishnakumara.
[06:50:41 PM] => LK
: Let us be very clear that the debt issued and guaranteed
by state government (unlike any corporate paper) has no �default
risk�, just like the central govt. debt. However, there is
a slight element of �delay risk�, that is, the receipt of
interest or principal may (not necessarily) get delayed by
some time. But state will never default. We are following
a very careful selection criteria for making investment in
state papers, with diversification being foremost in our minds.
These papers are sufficiently liquid as far as our investment
size is concerned and there is absolutely no threat of our
getting cornered here.
[06:51:04 PM] => Manjum : When
do u see the benefits of disinvestment trickling into our
economy?
[06:51:21 PM] => LK
: It is going to be a slow process. With coalition governments
and political considerations being the order of the day, it
will require considerable will and determination for govt.
to successfully move ahead with the programme. Measurable
benefits may take months to tickle in but it would help the
investor morale almost immediately and that would bring in
some instant relief.
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